A leading national political analysis organization says Missouri has one of the top ten marquee Congressional races this year—and a Senate race to watch as an indicator of the challenges democrats face nationally.
The Cook Political Report doesn’t take polls but it analyzes information from numerous sources for its weekly newsletter and founder Charlie Cook’s magazine columns.
The Fourth Congressional District race is one of the top ten races that the report’s House editor, David Wasserman, says could be a barometer of what will happen nationally on election night. That’s the Ike Skelton-Vicky Hartzler race.
The report’s senate editor, Jennifer Duffy, says the Blunt-Carnahan Senate race matches two political family dynasties and Republican Roy Blunt has the political environment on his side in the race against Democrat Robin Carnahan. She says Blunt leads by “an inch” and that Carnahan needs to do something to gain some momentum in the race.
Cook says on C-Span that the biggest problem for democrats is mobilizing the party’s base as effectively as it did two years ago when President Obama almost carried this state.